Summary of 2020 |
This is the sixth end of year overview of my holdings so a long, long article. Two years were left out 2018 and 2019. This of course also means that several companies have left the portfolio: Hugo Boss, Fast Retailing, CEZ, Fugro, ETF Austria, ETF Oil, ETF Greece, Avtovaz, ETF Russia. Some companies have also entered the portfolio such as: Ratos, ETF Germany, ETF Mix, Skanska, Stock X and Stock Y. Investments were also made in already existing companies. When it comes to calculations then to me the generated value is (share price * shares + dividend - trading fees).
For the previous report please click on end of year overview 2017, and the one before that please click on end of year overview 2016 and for the one before then please click on end of year overview 2015 for the one before then please click on end of year overview 2014 and for the one before then please click on end of year overview 2013. I will refer back to previous overviews especially regarding the reason for the investments.
Company: E.On.
Shares: 400
Invested: 4533 €
Value: 3652 € (-19%)
Dividends: 1408 €
Generated value: 5034 € (11% on yearly basis 1.3%)
Lesson learnt: Already talks of splitting a company and handing that out to the shareholders can increase the share price temporarily. For E.On it directly started dropping again afterwards. The danger of too many institutional owners that just goes along and accepts everything the management do. Uniper was split off which gave me some extra money and then they swapped assets with RWE which seems to have turned out better for RWE in terms of share price.
Shares: 420
Invested: 9484 €
Value: 3809 € (-60%)
Dividends: 723 €
Generated value: 4475 € (-53% on yearly basis -6%)
Lesson learnt: Sometimes enough is enough and even crooks can be kicked out from management. It did however take around six years. The new boss arrived with big changes that caused excitement on the market and the share price increase but over time that has dropped down significantly again and is now very low. Additionally... and this goes for several of my shares. I have strongly under-estimated the time it can take for a turn around to happen. A share can always drop another -50% which it did during 2016 and then again in the following years. All the illegal activities have still not been sorted out and by the look of it... the two crooks allowed new more illegal stuff to happen even after 2008/2009. Sell shares directly when the management are crooks because they will have a staff of crooks and like-minded people around them. The new management I have currently no beef with. They tried to make one big German bank with Commerzbank which failed.
Company: British Petroleum
Shares: 800
Invested: 4073 €
Value: 2344 € (-42%)
Dividends: 1923 €
Generated value: 4191 (+3% on yearly basis 0.3%)
Lesson learnt: When a turn around have actually started to turn around, in this case because finally the legal situation was over, a completely new situation can arrive that is going on the entire industry and not on an individual company as such but either way it does not matter. Oil prices dropped and BP dropped with it as all the other oil companies did. Looking back is easy. High prices lead to higher production and searching for new sources which lead to over production and decreasing prices. Could one have seen this coming. Yes, one probably could have. Did I? No. In 2020 BP was hit by Covid-19 as everyone else and reduced petrol consumption for cars but on top of it significant reduction in oil prices. The prices started to increase and the share prices for oil companies increased slightly only to realise all countries were sitting at full storage capacity leading to yet another drop.
Company: Commerzbank
Shares: 719
Invested: 7650 €
Value: 3774 € (-51%)
Dividends: 905 € (including sale of pre-emptive rights by mistake)
Generated value: 4624 € (-40% on yearly basis -5%)
Lesson learnt: Coba dropped down yet another level just like DB. Zero confidence in Germany for the German banks and German investors seem to have longer memories than many other nations. They are trying to push online banking by the full take over of ComDirect which personally I used when I lived in Germany and it was working very well. I'm however not certain if it will be the wind of change that Commerzbank desires or if Commerzbank is not so set in their ways that they will not be able to change. Either way they are at least trying to get their foot in there. DB today has an app with which I cannot even make trades. That is how far they have managed to get...
Company: Associated British Foods
Shares: 200
Invested: 3885 €
Value: 5120 € (+32%)
Dividends: 404 €
Generated value: 5507 € (+42% on yearly basis 5%)
Lesson learnt: I bought ABF due to Primark and the entire investment is resting on the shoulders of Primark. I did however at some point hope that their sugar part would once again start to bring in some earnings but that have yet to happen. Over time I have started to hope that Primark would be split off but as long as sugar is not doing well that will for sure not happen and I get more and more uncertain if it ever will. In 2015 ABF was up over 200% (and I should have sold them) but back then they were up around 50 € per share and additionally I have bought more shares which has pushed down things. Their flagship Primark was hit hard by Covid-19 which has been reflected in the share price.
Company: Intel
Shares: 135
Invested: 2618 €
Value: 5191 € (+98%)
Dividends: 835 €
Generated value: 6010 € (+130% on yearly basis 17%)
Lesson learnt: They gain up up sniffing on +170% early on in 2020 only to go down again. There has been plenty of bad news for Intel. Plenty of companies are today making better processors and Intel seems to have dropped out of the race. It feels a bit like how it was when I invested in them back in 2013. I hope that they will bounce back from this but as of yet the yearly value increase has been very favourable for me.
Company: K+S
Shares: 240
Invested: 5196 €
Value: 1846 € (-65%)
Dividends: 676 €
Generated value: 2483 € (-52% on yearly basis -7%)
Lesson learnt: When there is a dramatic share price increase due to an overtake offer then use that and sell. Do not be greedy and attempt to squeeze out that final cent. Be grateful and sell. If the deal will not happen then the share price will almost certainly drop down again which means one can step in again into a company that ones knows fairly well. Since that drop the share price have still not recovered and the company trying to buy K+S entered into a merger with another company meaning this kind of offer will not happen again. Looking back it was a big failure NOT to sell and I start to build up a large sequence of moments when I should have sold but did not. I must get better at selling shares WHEN they are fully priced. I cannot even start to explain how annoyed I am that I did not sell them when the offer was there. Very annoyed. Their saviour, the new plant in Canada, has not turned out to do so well as the management proclaimed.
Company: Deutsche Beteiligungs AG
Shares: 155
Invested: 3989 €
Value: 5255 € (+32%)
Dividends: 1077 €
Generated value: 6307 € (+58% on yearly basis 8%)
Lesson learnt: I still consider this to be a long term investment with a very sound investment approach and structure. They have given me 8% per year which is in my opinion fully acceptable.
Company: IBM
Shares: 25
Invested: 3274 €
Value: 2556 € (-22%)
Dividends: 700 €
Generated value: 3232 € (-1% on yearly basis -0.2%)
Lesson learnt: It does indeed take a long time to re-shape an entire company and to prepare for the coming decades. I would not say that I expected it to be faster but I can honestly say that I had no feeling at all regarding the time it would and will take until this is finished. I start to hear about the usage of Watson in hospital environments. Will doctors be replaced? Mr. Buffett has left the building so let us hope that we will see a similar effect as we saw with Deere after Mr. Buffett left there. I doubt as long as IBM keeps generating money and have a good cash flow then I will remain as a shareholder.
Company: Tessenderlo
Shares: 170
Invested: 4297 €
Value: 5695 € (+33%)
Dividends: 69 € (from sale of offered rights)
Generated value: 5726 € (+33% on yearly basis 5%)
Lesson learnt: A turn around can go very quickly with the right managers and luck should of course not be forgotten. Almost every chemical company are profiting from the decreased oil prices. Tessenderlo was on the way to merge, due to the majority owner however it never happened which I also do not have a clear understanding for because he could have pulled it off. The initial changes seems to have taken effect but now we need to start seeing some growth. He keeps taking over business that seems not to have anything to do with the core business. I do not mind - I trust the man in charge.
Company: BASF
Shares: 140
Invested: 6880 €
Value: 9125 € (+33%)
Dividends: 1302 €
Generated value: 10392 € (+51% on yearly basis 8%)
Lesson learnt: Their "new" CEO is finally once again a chemist and not a MBA and he is very much for sustainability and changing BASF. All chemical plants producing plastics are currently running at full production capacity to be able to supply the demand. The world has woken up - everyone have cleared their warehouses and are now caught out due to this. Many companies have to claim force majeure due to not being able to fulfil their supply commitments. I hope that BASF is not one of them but I am certain that they will do very well in 2021.
Company: Talanx
Shares: 80
Invested: 2109 €
Value: 2546 € (+21%)
Dividends: 660 €
Generated value: 3190 € (+51% on yearly basis 8%)
Lesson learnt: Boring insurance company owning large part of Hannover Re. They've been hit more than normal on claims this year and their invested float has not brought back has much as I am sure they would have liked. Same situation as I am with my dividends.
Company: RWE
Shares: 330
Invested: 4581 €
Value: 11540 € (+152%)
Dividends: 1075 €
Generated value: 12591 € (+175% on yearly basis 30%)
Lesson learnt: Well... not a new lesson but you can never stop repeating it when the situation keeps appearing. You can never catch a falling dagger. You can not. I stepped in the first time too early but since one can not know then it also does not matter one just have to step in and accept that it can drop 50% more and if it does AND you have no fears regarding the company then buy more. RWE has done very well and it has turned out to be an excellent investment both in terms of dividend payments as well for increased share price. They sold 10% more shares to institutional investors. I do not like when the same offer is not given to everyone.
Company: TJX
Shares: 32
Invested: 2009 €
Value: 3558 € (+77%)
Dividends: 157 €
Generated value: 3708 € (+85% on yearly basis 16%)
Lesson learnt: As all retail they have been hit this year by share price reduction. Should however provide them with plenty of stock since I doubt that the fashion houses will be able to sell the designs of 2020 in 2021.
Company: VW
Shares: 12
Invested: 2003 €
Value: 1836 € (-8%)
Dividends: 191 €
Generated value: 2020 € (+1% on yearly basis +0.2%)
Lesson learnt: I bought VW one month too yearly (just before diesel-gate). What one considers to be a stable company can change over night which I find interesting. I was on my way to say that it scares me but that would be the wrong word. It would have been an excellent moment to step in when they dropped below 100 € and obviously those kind of things happen with also large companies... one just have to hang in there and wait. What is strange with VW is that... if I would not have had shares previously then I would most likely have stepped in when this happened. Now that I did have shares I decided not to buy more. Very strange. I need to work on that. I also need to have more cash available to be able to step into not companies but industries when they dip down too much due to something silly which it was not in this case for VW that desired every punishment that they received. I watch a documentary on Netflix which just makes you shake your head at the stupidity of people. Stupid, stupid, stupid.
Parts: 1450
Invested: 8040 €
Value: 8077 € (+0.5%)
Dividends: 598 €
Generated value: 8629 € (+7% on yearly basis +1.5%)
Lesson learnt: It takes a long time for countries to recover from a situation such as PIGS. What always struck me was that they never complained a moaned about it but simply accepted the responsibility. They are a tough, football loving people that responded very differently to for instance G or even I for that matter.
Company: Nike
Shares: 40
Invested: 2018 €
Value: 4669 € (+131%)
Dividends: 105 €
Generated value: 4765 € (+136% on yearly basis 35%)
Lesson learnt: I should have kept Adidas and added Nike to the portfolio since both companies have done very well since then. Adidas journey upwards have continued and Nike went from its deep dip to also significantly improve.
Company: H&M
Shares: 603
Invested: 9893 €
Value: 10571 € (+7%)
Dividends: 832 €
Generated value: 11378 € (+15% on yearly basis 5%)
Lesson learnt: As always the knife kept falling slightly further and I made my grab a bit too early. I have bought more shares which have only just started to show me some positive figures even though retail has been massively hit by Covid-19. 2021 should be a great year for H&M and their online presence should only increase further.
Company: Ratos
Shares: 1245
Invested: 3823 €
Value: 4768 € (+25%)
Dividends: 57 €
Generated value: 4825 € (+26% on yearly basis 9%)
Lesson learnt: This was another falling knife that I did not grab late enough but it has started the journey back and currently it appears to be a fairly good investment for me.
Parts: 55
Invested: 5115 €
Value: 7283 € (+42%)
Dividends: 0 €
Generated value: 7279 € (+42% on yearly basis n/a%)
Lesson learnt: When their is a general crisis situation then it is a good moment to pick up a broad index ETF. Some companies will benefit and others will perish. When the crisis happens I do not know the impact on each and every company but an index fund will balance that out.
Parts: n/a
Invested: 74131 €
Value: 124305 € (+68%)
Dividends: re-invested
Generated value: 124305 € (+68% on yearly basis +16%)
Lesson learnt: Be faster on the ball and keep track of any tax beneficial schemes that exists to benefit from it.
Shares: 250
Invested: 4372 €
Value: 5263 € (+20%)
Dividends: 78 €
Generated value: 5322 € (+22% on yearly basis n/a%)
Lesson learnt: Good company and a good long term investment.
Shares: 270
Invested: 3171 €
Value: 3802 € (+20%)
Dividends: 26 €
Generated value: 3818 € (+20% on yearly basis n/a%)
Lesson learnt: Nothing as of yet in 2020.
Shares: 1124
Invested: 3221 €
Value: 5215 € (+62%)
Dividends: 0 €
Generated value: 5215 € (+62% on yearly basis n/a%)
Lesson learnt: Nothing as of yet in 2020.
Shares: 770
Invested: 2193 €
Value: 2002 € (-9%)
Dividends: 0 €
Generated value: 2002 € (-9% on yearly basis n/a%)
Lesson learnt: Nothing as of yet in 2020.