Tuesday 10 April 2018

Analysis of Coba 2018

Logo of Commerzbank 2018

Company: Commerzbank 

ISIN DE000CBK1001 | WKN CBK100 

Business: A German bank. Their five pillars are: Private Customers (accounts, credits, wealth management etc.), Mittelstandbank (medium sized companies as well as institutions), Central & Easter Europe (mBank big in Poland), Corporate & Markets (Corporate finance, equity, currencies etc.) and finally Non-Core Assets (Real Estate and ship-building). They actually only claim to have four pillars but I prefer to add their "bad bank", the NCA, as the fifth.

Active: Claim presence in 50 countries. Europe with Germany and Poland the biggest. 

P/E: 85

Here you can find the previous analysis of Coba 2017

Contrarian analysis of Commerzbank 2018 with P/E, P/B, ROE as well as dividend.

The P/E for Commerzbank is a blast with 85 and the P/B is still good with 0.5 which, all considered, gives thumbs done from Graham. Earnings to sales is at 2% which is bad, the ROE is laughable with 0.5% and the book to debt ratio is nothing to sneer at with 0.7.
In the last five years they have kept showing a wonderful decline in revenue which by now corresponds to a yearly revenue loss of -9.6%. This gives us a motivated P/E of 8 which means that Commerzbank is highly overvalued by the market.
They pay no dividends but they keep talking about it.

Conclusion: Graham says no and so do I. Only good value is the P/B and that is just not enough. The day I step out of the German banks it will be like a stone leaving my heart. I will remain as a grumpy shareholder for now.

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